Monday, September 12, 2011

Don't Get Hospitalized in July- The Intern Effect?

It has long been a running, dark joke in medicine: the worst day to get hospitalized is on July 1st, the first day of internship across the country.


Is there some truth to this statement?


Published in the Annals of Internal Medicine, a recent study investigated the effect of intern changeover in the month of July. The authors systematically reviewed studies describing the effects of trainee changeover on patient outcomes. Thirty-nine studies were included in the final analysis:  27 (69%) reported mortality, 19 (49%) reported efficiency (length of stay, duration of procedure, hospital charges), 23 (59%) reported morbidity, and 6 (15%) reported medical error outcomes; all studies focused on inpatient settings.


Of the 13 studies with higher-quality designs and larger sample sizes, increased mortality and decreased efficiency was observed at time the time of intern changeover in the month of July. For the higher-quality studies showing an association between changeover and mortality, the effect size ranged from a relative risk increase of 4.3%  to 12.0% or an adjusted odds ratio of 1.08  to 1.34. Not a huge difference, but not insignificant either


Other outcomes, such as morbidity and medical error outcomes, produced inconsistent results.


Mortality increases and efficiency decreases in hospitals because of year-end, intern changeovers. The authors were careful to point out several important caveats to this conclusion. The articles reviewed were English-language only, ambulatory settings were excluded, definitions of changeover and supervision structure varied significantly, likely resulting in confounding and bias.


Regardless, I will be sure to have my appendicitis later in the academic year.